Sport Picks
D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Chinquihue 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between D. Puerto Montt and San Marcos de Arica finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Marcos de Arica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and D. Puerto Montt come out ahead of San Marcos de Arica on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on D. Puerto Montt taking it.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | D. Puerto Montt | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
D. Puerto Montt Compare
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: D. Puerto Montt scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Difficult form: San Marcos de Arica registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
San Marcos de Arica let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:17 | 29 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos de Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 23 |
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 9 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:24 | 18 |
| 13 | San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11:28 | 3 |