Sport Picks

Stadium Background

D. Puerto Montt vs Trasandino

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vazquez L.
12'
Navarrete C.
28'
Castillo G.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2025 game between D. Puerto Montt and Trasandino finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward D. Puerto Montt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
D. Puerto Montt
39%
Draws
30%
Trasandino
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • D. Puerto Montt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and D. Puerto Montt have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 16%
Trasandino Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Puerto Montt Trasandino
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Segunda Division
D. Puerto Montt vs Trasandino
5:0
Apr 5, 2025 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs D. Puerto Montt
0:2
Oct 13, 2024 Segunda Division
D. Puerto Montt vs Trasandino
0:1
May 18, 2024 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs D. Puerto Montt
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perez S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Trasandino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 31 / 100
Trasandino 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Puerto Montt Trasandino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: D. Puerto Montt scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Trasandino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Recent resilience: D. Puerto Montt stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS Trasandino
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Puerto Montt

(Home)
26 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
3 : 2
Antofagasta
12 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
05 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 1
Huachipato
29 Jun
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
D. Concepcion
21 Jun
Huachipato
0 : 2
D. Puerto Montt
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Trasandino

(Away)
26 Jul
General Velasquez
0 : 0
Trasandino
11 Jul
Trasandino
1 : 2
Brujas Salamanca
05 Jul
Real San Joaquin
1 : 2
Trasandino
20 Jun
Trasandino
5 : 1
Santiago City
08 Jun
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1
Trasandino
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Puerto Montt24166254:1754
2Linares Unido24136539:2745
3Brujas Salamanca24116733:2739
4Osorno24116749:3436
5Provincial Ovalle24106824:2136
6Concon National241031144:3633
7General Velasquez2488829:3632
8Trasandino24911434:4228
9Real San Joaquin24641422:4322
10Santiago City24551435:5820
11Deportes Rengo24531622:5218
12Melipilla24124842:33-14
13San Antonio Unido24941148:49-27
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