Sport Picks
D. Puerto Montt vs U. Espanola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt 
Match Events
15'
15'
Riveros M.
21'
21'
Molina L.
46'
46'
Sub
Negrete S. In: Espinoza F.
Out: Negrete S.
AI Match Summary
U. Espanola in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Espanola.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: D. Puerto Montt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- D. Puerto Montt have won more games recently than U. Espanola.
- D. Puerto Montt are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 19%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | D. Puerto Montt | U. Espanola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs U. Espanola
0:1
Mar 20, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt
2:1
Jun 27, 2021 Copa Chile
U. Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt
2:3
Jun 23, 2021 Copa Chile
D. Puerto Montt vs U. Espanola
0:2
Oct 11, 2010 Copa Chile
D. Puerto Montt vs U. Espanola
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
D. Puerto Montt Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
U. Espanola Compare
Top Goalscorer Droguett B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
D. Puerto Montt 36 / 100
U. Espanola 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
D. Puerto Montt U. Espanola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
U. Espanola has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
D. Puerto Montt scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: U. Espanola registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
D. Puerto Montt VS U. Espanola
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
D. Puerto Montt
(Home) 03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1 Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1 Colo Colo
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Nublense
08 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 2 Rangers
05 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Curico Unido
22 Aug
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 4 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
U. Espanola
(Away) 04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0 U. Espanola
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1 Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1 U. Espanola
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1 U. Espanola
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1 Rangers
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0 U. Espanola
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1 U. Espanola
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1 U. Espanola
27 Aug
Colo Colo
3 : 0 U. Espanola
22 Aug
Cobreloa
0 : 1 U. Espanola
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38:34 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27:40 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
