Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dachau vs Bogen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 game between Dachau and Bogen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dachau
20%
Draws
40%
Bogen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dachau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dachau a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dachau Clean Sheet 12%
Bogen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dachau Bogen
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.44 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau vs Bogen
1:1
Sep 3, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Dachau
0:1
May 21, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Dachau
1:3
Oct 24, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau vs Bogen
3:1
Apr 18, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau vs Bogen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dachau 38 / 100
Bogen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dachau Bogen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dachau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogen let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Dachau found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (39 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Bogen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dachau VS Bogen
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Dachau

(Home)
31 Jan
Vfb Eichstatt
3 : 1
Dachau
01 Feb
Turkgucu Munchen
5 : 0
Dachau
03 Jul
Turkgucu Munchen
3 : 1
Dachau
25 May
Dachau
1 : 2
Gundelfingen
22 May
Gundelfingen
2 : 2
Dachau
Page 1 of 8

Bogen

(Away)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pullach 34 21 10 3 73:32 73
2 Unterfohring 34 21 6 7 62:42 69
3 Pipinsried 34 18 9 7 55:38 63
4 TSV Schwabmunchen 34 17 9 8 54:43 60
5 Dachau 34 18 6 10 56:49 60
6 Vilzing 34 14 10 10 47:48 52
7 Heimstetten 34 15 7 12 68:52 52
8 Kirchanschoring 34 13 9 12 40:39 48
9 Sonthofen 34 12 11 11 55:44 47
10 Rain/Lech 34 13 7 14 64:58 46
11 Ismaning 34 10 12 12 52:52 42
12 Kottern-St. Mang 34 10 9 15 64:72 39
13 Hankofen-Hailing 34 8 11 15 36:57 35
14 Wolfratshausen 34 10 4 20 44:66 34
15 Landsberg 34 9 7 18 46:65 34
16 Regensburg II 34 10 3 21 53:56 33
17 Bogen 34 8 7 19 34:62 31
18 Gundelfingen 34 6 9 19 39:67 27
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)