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Stadium Background

Dachau vs Bogen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 game between Dachau and Bogen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dachau
33%
Draws
27%
Bogen
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dachau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dachau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dachau a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dachau Clean Sheet 12%
Bogen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dachau Bogen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau vs Bogen
1:1
Sep 3, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Dachau
0:1
May 21, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Dachau
1:3
Oct 24, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau vs Bogen
3:1
Apr 18, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau vs Bogen
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dachau 38 / 100
Bogen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dachau Bogen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogen let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Dachau found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Bogen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dachau VS Bogen
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pullach342110373:3273
2Unterfohring34216762:4269
3Pipinsried34189755:3863
4TSV Schwabmunchen34179854:4360
5Dachau341861056:4960
6Vilzing3414101047:4852
7Heimstetten341571268:5252
8Kirchanschoring341391240:3948
9Sonthofen3412111155:4447
10Rain/Lech341371464:5846
11Ismaning3410121252:5242
12Kottern-St. Mang341091564:7239
13Hankofen-Hailing348111536:5735
14Wolfratshausen341042044:6634
15Landsberg34971846:6534
16Regensburg II341032153:5633
17Bogen34871934:6231
18Gundelfingen34691939:6727