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Dacia Chisinau vs Speranta Nisporeni

Moldova Moldova

Divizia Nationala 2017 Stadionul Moldova
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dacia Chisinau play Speranta Nisporeni in the Divizia Nationala 2017. Dacia Chisinau are favorites here. Recently, Dacia Chisinau averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Speranta Nisporeni averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Dacia Chisinau won 4, Speranta Nisporeni won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 14, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for Dacia Chisinau and 1.05 for Speranta Nisporeni. This points to a Dacia Chisinau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Dacia Chisinau
19%
Draws
19%
Speranta Nisporeni
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Dacia Chisinau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Dacia Chisinau picked up more points recently compared to Speranta Nisporeni.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Dacia Chisinau Clean Sheet 22%
Speranta Nisporeni Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dacia Chisinau Speranta Nisporeni
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.57 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2017 Super Liga
Speranta Nisporeni vs Dacia Chisinau
0:0
Jul 30, 2017 Super Liga
Dacia Chisinau vs Speranta Nisporeni
2:1
May 7, 2017 Super Liga
Speranta Nisporeni vs Dacia Chisinau
0:1
Nov 26, 2016 Super Liga
Dacia Chisinau vs Speranta Nisporeni
1:0
Aug 20, 2016 Super Liga
Speranta Nisporeni vs Dacia Chisinau
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dacia Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascenco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Speranta Nisporeni Compare

Top Goalscorer Railean A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dacia Chisinau 60 / 100
Speranta Nisporeni 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dacia Chisinau Speranta Nisporeni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dacia Chisinau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Dacia Chisinau & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dacia Chisinau attacking → ← attacking Speranta Nisporeni

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dacia Chisinau scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Speranta Nisporeni let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Dacia Chisinau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Speranta Nisporeni lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 23
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sheriff Tiraspol18143150:1445
2Milsami18131426:1240
3Petrocub Hincesti1875625:1626
4Dacia Chisinau1875623:2626
5Zaria Balti1873828:2024
6Speranta Nisporeni1856718:2121
7Sfintul Gheorghe1855815:2720
8Zimbru Chisinau1854917:2119
9Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol18431114:3815
10FC Spicul Chiscareni18351014:3514
11Academia Chisinau00000:00
12Saksan00000:00