Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 1 2025 DGB Daegu Bank Park

Gwangju FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Daegu play Gwangju FC in the K League 1 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Daegu averaged 2 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Gwangju FC averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Daegu won 2, Gwangju FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 8, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Daegu and 0.51 for Gwangju FC. This points to a Daegu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Daegu

33%

Draws

21%

Gwangju FC

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Daegu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Daegu picked up more points recently compared to Gwangju FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 0.51 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Daegu Clean Sheet 30%

Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Daegu	Gwangju FC
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	7
Draws	11	6
Losses	4	16
Goals Scored	2	0.76
Goals Conceded	1.39	1.86
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 K League 1

Daegu vs Gwangju FC

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Oct 4, 2025 K League 1

Gwangju FC vs Daegu

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Jun 1, 2025 K League 1

Daegu vs Gwangju FC

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Apr 9, 2025 K League 1

Gwangju FC vs Daegu

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Oct 18, 2024 K League 1

Gwangju FC vs Daegu

Possession: 60% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daegu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hyeon-jun

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Gwangju FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daegu 47 / 100

Gwangju FC 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Daegu Gwangju FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Daegu or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Daegu attacking → ← attacking Gwangju FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Daegu scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Gwangju FC let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Daegu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gwangju FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 27

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gwangju FC	38	15	9	14	40:41	54
2	Anyang	38	14	7	17	49:47	49
3	Ulsan Hyundai	38	11	11	16	42:50	44
4	Suwon FC	38	11	9	18	51:58	42
5	Jeju SK	38	10	9	19	40:53	39
6	Daegu	38	7	13	18	47:67	34