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Daejeon Korail vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Yang Chang-Hoon

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Daejeon Korail and Changwon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Daejeon Korail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Daejeon Korail
33%
Draws
27%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Daejeon Korail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Changwon haven't matched Daejeon Korail's recent run of results.
  • Daejeon Korail are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 68%
Changwon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Korail Changwon
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Changwon
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Daejeon Korail
0:0
May 2, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Changwon
1:1
Jul 5, 2024 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Changwon
3:3
Mar 17, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Daejeon Korail
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daejeon Korail Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Chang-Hoon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Changwon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon Korail 50 / 100
Changwon 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Korail Changwon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Daejeon Korail found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Changwon conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Daejeon Korail went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon Korail VS Changwon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429