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Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Lee Eun-Jae

AI Match Summary

Dangjin Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dangjin Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Daejeon Korail
15%
Draws
34%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Daejeon Korail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dangjin Citizen haven't matched Daejeon Korail's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Daejeon Korail a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Daejeon Korail here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 13%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Korail Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen
0:1
May 16, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Korean Cup
Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen
3:1
Oct 29, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
0:1
Jun 3, 2022 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daejeon Korail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Eun-Jae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon Korail 40 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Korail Dangjin Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dangjin Citizen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Daejeon Korail scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Daejeon Korail has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon Korail VS Dangjin Citizen
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Daejeon Korail

(Home)
02 Oct
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Gangneung
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

Dangjin Citizen

(Away)
04 Oct
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
19 Aug
Jeonbuk
2 : 3
Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 24 14 7 3 41:20 49
3 Daejeon Korail 24 12 5 7 33:19 41
4 Busan Kyotong 24 11 7 6 42:30 40
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 24 10 4 10 47:39 34
7 Chuncheon 24 9 6 9 42:37 33
8 Changwon 24 7 8 9 27:31 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 25:28 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 24 7 7 10 27:31 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 30:46 20
14 Jeonbuk 2 24 1 7 16 25:54 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)