Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Ha Chang-Rae
41' Event
Lee G.
Assist: Lee Jung-Taek
46'
Sub
Seo Young-Jae In: Kang Yun-Sung
Out: Seo Young-Jae

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Daejeon and Gimcheon Sangmu finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Daejeon
33%
Draws
27%
Gimcheon Sangmu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Daejeon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Daejeon come out ahead of Gimcheon Sangmu on wins alone.
  • Daejeon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 68%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Gimcheon Sangmu
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:1
Jun 18, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daejeon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ha Chang-Rae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon 50 / 100
Gimcheon Sangmu 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Gimcheon Sangmu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimcheon Sangmu has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Daejeon found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Daejeon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon VS Gimcheon Sangmu
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Daejeon

(Home)
18 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Ulsan Hyundai
12 Jul
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Daejeon
04 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Bucheon FC 1995
16 May
Daejeon
1 : 2
Seoul
12 May
Gangwon
2 : 0
Daejeon
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Gimcheon Sangmu

(Away)
18 Jul
Gangwon
2 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
11 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Jeju SK
17 May
Jeonbuk
1 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 May
Anyang
2 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Gangwon1887323:1131
3Jeonbuk1885525:1629
4Ulsan Hyundai1884626:2628
5Pohang1884619:1628
6Incheon1873822:1924
7Anyang1758422:1923
8Jeju SK1865716:1823
9Daejeon1847721:2019
10Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
11Gimcheon Sangmu18210617:2516
12Gwangju FC1715118:418
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)