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Dagenham & Red. vs Chesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dagenham & Red. host Chesham in the National League South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Chesham have shipped 1.96 goals a game lately, while Dagenham & Red. have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.34. Head-to-head, Dagenham & Red. have won 2 to Chesham's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.63) back Dagenham & Red. to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Dagenham & Red.
20%
Draws
42%
Chesham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dagenham & Red. come out ahead of Chesham on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dagenham & Red.'s way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 14%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagenham & Red. Chesham
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.34 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Dagenham & Red.
0:1
Nov 25, 2025 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Chesham
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagenham & Red. 66 / 100
Chesham 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagenham & Red. Chesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagenham & Red. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chesham has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Dagenham & Red. found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Dagenham & Red. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dagenham & Red. VS Chesham
1 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagenham & Red.

(Home)
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
03 Oct
Brentwood
3 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
26 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
22 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
3 : 0
Waltham Abbey
19 Sept
Waltham Abbey
1 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 6

Chesham

(Away)
10 Oct
Chesham
0 : 5
Chelmsford
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3
Real Bedford
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4
Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2
Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 11 7 1 3 20:12 22
2 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
3 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
4 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
5 Dagenham & Red. 11 6 2 3 10:7 20
6 Weston-super-Mare 11 5 3 3 19:11 18
7 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
8 Tonbridge 11 5 2 4 20:11 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
10 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
11 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
12 Ebbsfleet 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
13 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
14 Hemel Hempstead 11 3 5 3 10:10 14
15 Folkestone 11 3 4 4 16:13 13
16 Maidenhead 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
17 Horsham FC 10 2 5 3 10:12 11
18 Farnborough 10 3 2 5 8:17 11
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 AFC Totton 10 3 1 6 8:16 10
21 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 11 1 1 9 11:29 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)