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Dagenham & Red. vs Farnham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Clayden C.
82' Event
Evans S.
87' Event
Tamplin A.

AI Match Summary

Dagenham & Red. in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dagenham & Red..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dagenham & Red.
30%
Draws
37%
Farnham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Farnham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Dagenham & Red. haven't matched Farnham's recent run of results.
  • Dagenham & Red. are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 17%
Farnham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagenham & Red. Farnham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Farnham
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagenham & Red. Compare

Top Goalscorer Clayden C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tamplin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Farnham Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagenham & Red. 41 / 100
Farnham 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagenham & Red. Farnham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dagenham & Red. found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Farnham conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dagenham & Red. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dagenham & Red. VS Farnham
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagenham & Red.

(Home)
03 Oct
Brentwood
3 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
26 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
22 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
3 : 0
Waltham Abbey
19 Sept
Waltham Abbey
1 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 6

Farnham

(Away)
06 Oct
Farnham
2 : 2
Truro
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Farnham
1 : 2
Cirencester
19 Sept
Cirencester
2 : 2
Farnham
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)