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Dagon Port vs Mahar United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tun Myo Thuya
42' Event
Kyar P. T.
47' Event
Thet Naing

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dagon Port
6%
Draws
4%
Mahar United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dagon Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mahar United have won more games recently than Dagon Port.
  • Model gives Dagon Port a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Dagon Port Clean Sheet 10%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Port Mahar United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 National League
Dagon Port vs Mahar United
4:4
Dec 25, 2025 National League
Mahar United vs Dagon Port
5:2
Jan 17, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Mahar United
3:2
Aug 4, 2024 National League
Mahar United vs Dagon Port
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyar P. T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tun Myo Thuya
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Mahar United Compare

Top Goalscorer Thet Naing
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thu Kaung Myat
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon Port 83 / 100
Mahar United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Port Mahar United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mahar United conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Dagon Port's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dagon Port stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dagon Port VS Mahar United
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shan United22184066:1058
2Yangon United22183170:757
3Dagon22116539:3039
4Ispe2294935:4631
5Hantharwady United2277832:3428
6Mahar United2277839:4428
7Yadanarbon22751038:3826
8Ayeyawady22751025:2626
9Thitsar Arman2259836:3824
10Dagon Port22571044:6222
11Rakhine United22541328:5419
12Yarmanya United22131817:806