Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dagon Port vs Thitsar Arman

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Michel M.
18' Event
Oo Min Maw
28' Event
Aung P.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Dagon Port and Thitsar Arman finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Dagon Port
35%
Draws
31%
Thitsar Arman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dagon Port haven't matched Thitsar Arman's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Dagon Port Clean Sheet 10%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Port Thitsar Arman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 14
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port
2:2
Dec 30, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Thitsar Arman
3:3
Jun 14, 2025 MNL League Cup
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port
2:2
Feb 14, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Thitsar Arman
1:2
Aug 23, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Min Htwe La
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oo Min Maw
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon Port 30 / 100
Thitsar Arman 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Port Thitsar Arman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Dagon Port's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Thitsar Arman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Dagon Port has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dagon Port VS Thitsar Arman
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon Port

(Home)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
26 Feb
Dagon Port
5 : 2
Yarmanya United
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
Page 1 of 6

Thitsar Arman

(Away)
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
26 Feb
Thitsar Arman
0 : 0
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)