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Dagon Port vs Yadanarbon

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
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Match Events

45' Event
Soe N. N.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Dagon Port and Yadanarbon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dagon Port.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dagon Port
20%
Draws
33%
Yadanarbon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dagon Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dagon Port haven't matched Yadanarbon's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Dagon Port taking it.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Dagon Port Clean Sheet 10%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Port Yadanarbon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.07 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 National League
Dagon Port vs Yadanarbon
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Dagon Port
2:2
Jun 18, 2025 MNL League Cup
Dagon Port vs Yadanarbon
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Dagon Port
3:3
Sep 13, 2024 National League
Dagon Port vs Yadanarbon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Soe N. N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Yadanarbon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon Port 47 / 100
Yadanarbon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Port Yadanarbon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Port Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yadanarbon has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Dagon Port scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Dagon Port has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dagon Port VS Yadanarbon
2.38 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon Port

(Home)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
26 Feb
Dagon Port
5 : 2
Yarmanya United
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
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Yadanarbon

(Away)
04 Sept
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Yadanarbon
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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