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Dagon vs Rakhine United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
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Match Events

75' Event
Lam Mang S.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Dagon and Rakhine United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dagon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Dagon
20%
Draws
7%
Rakhine United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Dagon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dagon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dagon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Dagon Clean Sheet 68%
Rakhine United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Rakhine United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Rakhine United
1:0
Jan 5, 2026 National League
Rakhine United vs Dagon
0:2
Oct 21, 2024 National League
Dagon vs Rakhine United
1:0
Sep 9, 2024 National League
Rakhine United vs Dagon
1:5
Jul 21, 2023 National League
Dagon vs Rakhine United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lam Mang S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Rakhine United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon 95 / 100
Rakhine United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Rakhine United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dagon scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Rakhine United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dagon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dagon VS Rakhine United
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon

(Home)
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
19 Feb
Dagon
2 : 1
Yadanarbon
Page 1 of 6

Rakhine United

(Away)
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
02 Mar
Rakhine United
0 : 6
Shan United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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