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Dagon vs Yarmanya United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Zangpo P.

AI Match Summary

Yarmanya United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yarmanya United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dagon
15%
Draws
0%
Yarmanya United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Yarmanya United haven't matched Dagon's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Dagon taking it.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dagon Clean Sheet 20%
Yarmanya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Yarmanya United
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 16 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 2.17 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.37 3.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Yarmanya United
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 National League
Yarmanya United vs Dagon
1:5
May 5, 2025 MNL League Cup
Dagon vs Yarmanya United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Compare

Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Yarmanya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Zangpo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon 85 / 100
Yarmanya United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Yarmanya United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dagon scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Yarmanya United conceded in 92% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Yarmanya United lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dagon VS Yarmanya United
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
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Yarmanya United

(Away)
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
08 Mar
Shan United
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
26 Feb
Dagon Port
5 : 2
Yarmanya United
15 Feb
Yarmanya United
1 : 2
Ispe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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