Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015

Toledo 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Daimiel play Toledo 2 in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Daimiel averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Toledo 2 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Daimiel won 0, Toledo 2 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2015 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Daimiel and 1.19 for Toledo 2. This points to a Toledo 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Daimiel

21%

Draws

45%

Toledo 2

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Toledo 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Daimiel picked up more points recently compared to Toledo 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Daimiel Clean Sheet 20%

Toledo 2 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Daimiel	Toledo 2
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	8	12
Draws	6	8
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	0.93	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Toledo 2 vs Daimiel

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Daimiel vs Toledo 2

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daimiel 35 / 100

Toledo 2 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Daimiel Toledo 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Toledo 2 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Daimiel attacking → ← attacking Toledo 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Daimiel scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Toledo 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Daimiel went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Toledo 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 44

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Talavera	38	25	9	4	85:27	84
2	UD Almansa	38	24	7	7	62:32	79
3	Quintanar del Rey	38	21	12	5	48:19	75
4	Manzanares	38	21	10	7	59:24	73
5	Madridejos	38	20	12	6	43:21	72
6	Villarrubia	38	17	14	7	50:35	65
7	Marchamalo	38	17	8	13	55:51	59
8	Mora CF	38	16	9	13	51:39	57
9	Villarrobledo	38	15	9	14	58:49	54
10	CD Puertollano	38	14	11	13	54:46	53
11	CD Pedroneras	38	14	9	15	45:37	51
12	Toledo 2	38	16	2	20	47:55	50
13	Atletico Ibanes	38	12	12	14	42:40	48
14	Albacete B	38	13	8	17	59:56	47
15	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	13	7	18	47:57	46
16	Almagro	38	11	11	16	43:44	44
17	La Gineta	38	11	10	17	39:53	43
18	Daimiel	38	11	7	20	39:67	40
19	Alcazar	38	2	5	31	21:117	11
20	Hellin Deportivo	38	0	2	36	3:81	2