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Stadium Background

Dainava Alytus vs FK Babrungas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Amankona L.
27' Event
Obi Chinonso J.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Kotov I.

AI Match Summary

Dainava Alytus in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dainava Alytus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Dainava Alytus
20%
Draws
56%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Babrungas lately — more wins on the board than Dainava Alytus.
  • FK Babrungas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 17%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dainava Alytus FK Babrungas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 22
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.67 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs FK Babrungas
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Dainava Alytus
3:1
Sep 17, 2022 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Dainava Alytus
2:1
May 22, 2022 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs FK Babrungas
3:2
Aug 20, 2006 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Dainava Alytus
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dainava Alytus Compare

Top Goalscorer Kotov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Amankona L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dainava Alytus 20 / 100
FK Babrungas 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dainava Alytus FK Babrungas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dainava Alytus found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Dainava Alytus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Babrungas has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dainava Alytus VS FK Babrungas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dainava Alytus

(Home)
09 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 2
Dainava Alytus
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

FK Babrungas

(Away)
10 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Jonava
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 26 20 4 2 45:11 64
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 26 14 2 10 33:31 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 25 8 7 10 37:33 31
10 Garliava 26 8 5 13 31:28 29
11 Jonava 26 7 6 13 28:35 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 26 6 4 16 30:59 22
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 26 7 1 18 27:59 22
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 26 4 3 19 26:59 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)