Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dainava Alytus vs Garliava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Ellah C.

AI Match Summary

Dainava Alytus in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dainava Alytus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dainava Alytus
15%
Draws
0%
Garliava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dainava Alytus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Garliava haven't matched Dainava Alytus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dainava Alytus a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dainava Alytus have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 20%
Garliava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dainava Alytus Garliava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Garliava
1:0
Aug 5, 2022 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Garliava
2:0
Mar 26, 2022 I Lyga
Garliava vs Dainava Alytus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dainava Alytus Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellah C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Garliava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dainava Alytus 49 / 100
Garliava 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dainava Alytus Garliava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dainava Alytus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garliava lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Dainava Alytus scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Garliava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dainava Alytus VS Garliava
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dainava Alytus

(Home)
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
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Garliava

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)