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Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
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Match Events

61' Event
Berenta V.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Dainava Alytus and Zalgiris 2 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Dainava Alytus
20%
Draws
56%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Zalgiris 2 have managed 1.48 goals a game lately — Dainava Alytus are scoring more at 1.67.
  • Win probability leans Zalgiris 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 16%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dainava Alytus Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris 2
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Dainava Alytus
0:0
Oct 17, 2022 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Dainava Alytus
3:2
Jun 10, 2022 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris 2
2:2
Jun 14, 2020 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Dainava Alytus
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dainava Alytus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berenta V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dainava Alytus 23 / 100
Zalgiris 2 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dainava Alytus Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dainava Alytus scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Zalgiris 2 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Dainava Alytus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dainava Alytus VS Zalgiris 2
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dainava Alytus

(Home)
09 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 2
Dainava Alytus
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)