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Dalbeattie Star vs Darvel FC

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dalbeattie Star play Darvel FC in the Scottish Cup 2022/2023. Darvel FC are favorites here. Recently, Dalbeattie Star averaged 0.73 goals scored and 4.13 conceded. Darvel FC averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Dalbeattie Star won 0, Darvel FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 22, 2022 ended 1:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Dalbeattie Star and 2.56 for Darvel FC. This points to a Darvel FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Dalbeattie Star
15%
Draws
72%
Darvel FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Darvel FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dalbeattie Star picked up more points recently compared to Darvel FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Dalbeattie Star Clean Sheet 10%
Darvel FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dalbeattie Star Darvel FC
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 1 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 24 6
Goals Scored 0.73 2.14
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2022 Scottish Cup
Dalbeattie Star vs Darvel FC
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dalbeattie Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Degnan S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Darvel FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mackenzie A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Robertson W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dalbeattie Star 14 / 100
Darvel FC 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dalbeattie Star Darvel FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Darvel FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Darvel FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dalbeattie Star attacking → ← attacking Darvel FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dalbeattie Star scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Darvel FC let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Dalbeattie Star went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Darvel FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 22
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
4.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00