Sport Picks
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
USA
USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX 
Match Events
64'
64'
Lussi T.
65'
65'
Sub
Coleman A. In: Parker R.
Out: Coleman A.
70'
70'
Sub
Ubogagu C. In: Lancaster C.
Out: Ubogagu C.
AI Match Summary
Carolina Ascent W in this USL Super League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carolina Ascent W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Carolina Ascent W have won more games recently than Dallas Trinity W.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular USL Super League Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Dallas Trinity W Clean Sheet 10%
Carolina Ascent W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dallas Trinity W | Carolina Ascent W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Dallas Trinity W
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Dallas Trinity W
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dallas Trinity W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Carolina Ascent W Compare
Top Goalscorer Baisden R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dallas Trinity W 34 / 100
Carolina Ascent W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dallas Trinity W Carolina Ascent W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dallas Trinity W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Carolina Ascent W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Dallas Trinity W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dallas Trinity W VS Carolina Ascent W
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Dallas Trinity W
(Home) 23 May
Lexington W
2 : 0 Dallas Trinity W
17 May
Dallas Trinity W
4 : 0 Fort Lauderdale United W
09 May
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 2 Dallas Trinity W
01 May
DC Power W
1 : 1 Dallas Trinity W
25 Apr
Brooklyn W
1 : 1 Dallas Trinity W
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Dallas Trinity W
4 : 0 Fort Lauderdale United W
19 Apr
Dallas Trinity W
0 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
04 Apr
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 1 Spokane Zephyr W
01 Apr
Dallas Trinity W
1 : 2 Tampa Bay Sun W
22 Mar
Dallas Trinity W
0 : 4 Sporting Jax W
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Carolina Ascent W
(Away) 30 May
Lexington W
3 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
24 May
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
16 May
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 1 Sporting Jax W
09 May
Fort Lauderdale United W
0 : 3 Carolina Ascent W
25 Apr
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 2 Carolina Ascent W
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Lexington W
3 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
24 May
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
09 May
Fort Lauderdale United W
0 : 3 Carolina Ascent W
25 Apr
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 2 Carolina Ascent W
19 Apr
Dallas Trinity W
0 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lexington W | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 50:24 | 53 |
| 2 | Sporting Jax W | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 54:32 | 53 |
| 3 | Carolina Ascent W | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:27 | 51 |
| 4 | Dallas Trinity W | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 36:40 | 40 |
| 5 | Spokane Zephyr W | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 34:28 | 39 |
| 6 | DC Power W | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 31:44 | 26 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | 24 |
| 9 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:62 | 23 |
Promotion - USL Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)