Sport Picks
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Super League Women Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX 
Match Events
13'
13'
Groom S.
23'
23'
Baisden R.
Assist: Aguilera J.
43'
43'
Coleman A.
Assist: George M.
AI Match Summary
Carolina Ascent W in this USL Super League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carolina Ascent W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carolina Ascent W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Carolina Ascent W lately — more wins on the board than Dallas Trinity W.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular USL Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Dallas Trinity W Clean Sheet 15%
Carolina Ascent W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dallas Trinity W | Carolina Ascent W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
1:3
Apr 19, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Dallas Trinity W
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Carolina Ascent W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dallas Trinity W Compare
Top Goalscorer Hamid J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Carolina Ascent W Compare
Top Goalscorer Baisden R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Coleman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dallas Trinity W 35 / 100
Carolina Ascent W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dallas Trinity W Carolina Ascent W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carolina Ascent W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dallas Trinity W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Dallas Trinity W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Carolina Ascent W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Dallas Trinity W VS Carolina Ascent W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dallas Trinity W
(Home) 25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0 Dallas Trinity W
18 Sept
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2 Dallas Trinity W
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1 DC Power W
06 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 0 Brooklyn W
29 Aug
Sporting Jax W
2 : 0 Dallas Trinity W
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1 DC Power W
06 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 0 Brooklyn W
23 Aug
Dallas Trinity W
1 : 3 Carolina Ascent W
16 Aug
Dallas Trinity W
1 : 1 Tampa Bay Sun W
17 May
Dallas Trinity W
4 : 0 Fort Lauderdale United W
Page 1 of 3
Carolina Ascent W
(Away) 26 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 3 Sporting Jax W
19 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 0 Brooklyn W
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
05 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 0 Fort Lauderdale United W
29 Aug
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 2 Tampa Bay Sun W
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
23 Aug
Dallas Trinity W
1 : 3 Carolina Ascent W
15 Aug
DC Power W
0 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
30 May
Lexington W
3 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
24 May
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Ascent W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 2 | DC Power W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 3 | Sporting Jax W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 4 | Lexington W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Dallas Trinity W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:14 | 6 |
| 8 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)
