Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Damac vs Al Taawon

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Aragao G. T.
Assist: Petkov M.
25'
Abdullah T.
34' Event
Meite Y.
Assist: Sharahili R.

AI Match Summary

Damac in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Damac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Damac
35%
Draws
13%
Al Taawon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Damac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Taawon average 1.29 goals a game right now, well clear of Damac's 0.97.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Damac taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Damac Clean Sheet 68%
Al Taawon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damac Al Taawon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 King Cup
Damac vs Al Taawon
0:3
Feb 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Taawon
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Damac
6:1
Mar 8, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Damac
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Taawon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damac Compare

Top Goalscorer Meite Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Taawon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aragao G. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damac 95 / 100
Al Taawon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damac Al Taawon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Taawon let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Damac remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Taawon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Damac VS Al Taawon
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damac

(Home)
20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2
Al Adalah
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
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Al Taawon

(Away)
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
08 Sept
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 0
Al Taawon
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Al Taawon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)