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Damaiense W vs Famalicao W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Campo Engenheiro Carlos Salema
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Goncalves G.
29' Event
Matos I.
31'
Sub
Victoria Pereira In: Andre M.
Out: Victoria Pereira

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Damaiense W and Famalicao W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Damaiense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Damaiense W
33%
Draws
40%
Famalicao W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Famalicao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Famalicao W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Famalicao W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Damaiense W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 10%
Famalicao W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damaiense W Famalicao W
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Damaiense W
3:0
Dec 21, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Famalicao W
3:0
Feb 17, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Damaiense W
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Famalicao W
3:2
Jan 29, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Famalicao W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damaiense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matos I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Famalicao W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damaiense W 26 / 100
Famalicao W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damaiense W Famalicao W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Famalicao W conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Damaiense W found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (36 games).

Recent resilience: Damaiense W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Damaiense W VS Famalicao W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110