Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Damaiense W vs Rio Ave W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Damaiense W Logo

Damaiense W

1 - 1
FT
Rio Ave W Logo

Rio Ave W

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lidiane
(Penalty)
17'
Assucena A.
19'
Moreira I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 game between Damaiense W and Rio Ave W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Damaiense W
20%
Draws
40%
Rio Ave W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Ave W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rio Ave W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 16%
Rio Ave W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damaiense W Rio Ave W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.8 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Rio Ave W vs Damaiense W
2:0
Jan 4, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Rio Ave W vs Damaiense W
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Rio Ave W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damaiense W 30 / 100
Rio Ave W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damaiense W Rio Ave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damaiense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Rio Ave W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Damaiense W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Rio Ave W let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Damaiense W VS Rio Ave W
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Damaiense W

(Home)
10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1
Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0
Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

Rio Ave W

(Away)
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
13 Sept
Torreense W
3 : 0
Rio Ave W
31 May
Gil Vicente W
0 : 2
Rio Ave W
23 May
Rio Ave W
1 : 1
Gil Vicente W
10 May
Rio Ave W
0 : 1
SL Benfica W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)