Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Damascus Al-Ahli vs Jableh Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Antwi R.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Sardar M.
67' Event
Ouattara M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Damascus Al-Ahli and Jableh finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Damascus Al-Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Damascus Al-Ahli
15%
Draws
0%
Jableh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Damascus Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Damascus Al-Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Damascus Al-Ahli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Jableh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damascus Al-Ahli Jableh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Jableh
4:1
Feb 27, 2026 Premier League
Jableh vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:0
Jun 24, 2023 Syria Cup
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Jableh
1:0
May 2, 2023 Premier League
Jableh vs Damascus Al-Ahli
2:1
Oct 22, 2022 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Jableh
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Sardar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouattara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Jableh Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdul Razak F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damascus Al-Ahli 85 / 100
Jableh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damascus Al-Ahli Jableh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damascus Al-Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jableh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Jableh's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Damascus Al-Ahli scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Damascus Al-Ahli VS Jableh
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Damascus Al-Ahli

(Home)
04 Jul
Damascus Al-Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

Jableh

(Away)
03 Jul
Tishreen
4 : 2
Jableh
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Jableh
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)