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Damash Gilan vs Besat Kermanshah

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
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Match Events

54' Event
Yazdani M.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Damash Gilan and Besat Kermanshah finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Damash Gilan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Damash Gilan
39%
Draws
31%
Besat Kermanshah
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Besat Kermanshah come out ahead of Damash Gilan on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 19%
Besat Kermanshah Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damash Gilan Besat Kermanshah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Besat Kermanshah
1:0
Oct 13, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Damash Gilan
0:0
Feb 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Damash Gilan
0:0
Sep 23, 2024 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Besat Kermanshah
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damash Gilan Compare

Top Goalscorer Yazdani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Besat Kermanshah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damash Gilan 31 / 100
Besat Kermanshah 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damash Gilan Besat Kermanshah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besat Kermanshah lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Besat Kermanshah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Damash Gilan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Damash Gilan scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Damash Gilan VS Besat Kermanshah
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619