Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Damash Gilan vs Fard

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Damash Gilan host Fard in the Azadegan League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Fard have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Damash Gilan have conceded 2.13 and scored 0.5. Past meetings favor Damash Gilan slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 26, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.81, favoring Fard. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Damash Gilan
17%
Draws
70%
Fard
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Fard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Fard carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fard's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 11%
Fard Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damash Gilan Fard
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 8
Draws 9 14
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Azadegan League
Fard vs Damash Gilan
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damash Gilan 14 / 100
Fard 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damash Gilan Fard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damash Gilan scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Fard let in goals in 39% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Damash Gilan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Damash Gilan VS Fard
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran32199446:1566
2Mes Shahr Babak321810439:1464
3Pars Janoobi Jam321412638:2154
4Sanat Naft321412634:2154
5Saipa321411727:1853
6Havadar SC321116530:1849
7Fard321015724:1445
8Naft Bandar Abbas32917623:1844
9Mes Kerman32915820:1742
10Ario Eslamshahr32815916:1639
11Besat Kermanshah329111224:2738
12Niroye Zamini328111327:2835
13Naft Gachsaran327131223:3734
14Kara Gostar Shabestar32891516:3433
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm327101519:3531
16Shahrdari Noshahr325141317:2729
17Navad Urmia324121616:4324
18Damash Gilan322121816:5218