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Dandenong City SC vs Avondale FC

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Frank Holohan Soccer Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Atherinos T.
36' Event
Bower W.
85' Event
Ott G.

AI Match Summary

Dandenong City SC in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dandenong City SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dandenong City SC
6%
Draws
90%
Avondale FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avondale FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Avondale FC have won more games recently than Dandenong City SC.
  • Avondale FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dandenong City SC Clean Sheet 10%
Avondale FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dandenong City SC Avondale FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.63 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Avondale FC
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Dandenong City SC
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Dandenong City SC
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Dandenong City SC
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Avondale FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dandenong City SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Atherinos T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bower W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Avondale FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ott G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dandenong City SC 10 / 100
Avondale FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dandenong City SC Avondale FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dandenong City SC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Avondale FC conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Dandenong City SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dandenong City SC VS Avondale FC
1.63 Goals Scored 3.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons20135243:1844
2Hume City20124440:2440
3Avondale FC20111853:2734
4Preston Lions19122530:1632
5Heidelberg Utd2095633:2632
6South Melbourne20101931:3231
7Melbourne City U211986537:2230
8George Cross2069527:2827
9St Albans2065923:3623
10Dandenong City SC2075826:2722
11Altona Magic20641024:3622
12Bentleigh Greens20441218:4416
13Dandenong Thunder20431322:4315
14Green Gully20241414:4210