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Dandenong City SC vs Bentleigh Greens

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Frank Holohan Soccer Complex
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AI Match Summary

Dandenong City SC play Bentleigh Greens in the NPL Victoria. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dandenong City SC averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Bentleigh Greens averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Dandenong City SC won 1, Bentleigh Greens won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Dandenong City SC and 0.94 for Bentleigh Greens. This points to a Dandenong City SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dandenong City SC
24%
Draws
36%
Bentleigh Greens
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Dandenong City SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dandenong City SC picked up more points recently compared to Bentleigh Greens.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Dandenong City SC Clean Sheet 24%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dandenong City SC Bentleigh Greens
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Bentleigh Greens
3:0
Aug 21, 2022 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Bentleigh Greens
0:5
May 13, 2022 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City SC
2:1
Aug 6, 2021 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City SC
0:0
May 7, 2021 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Bentleigh Greens
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dandenong City SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lambadaridis G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Latham J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dandenong City SC 41 / 100
Bentleigh Greens 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dandenong City SC Bentleigh Greens

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dandenong City SC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dandenong City SC attacking → ← attacking Bentleigh Greens

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dandenong City SC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Bentleigh Greens let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dandenong City SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bentleigh Greens lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 39
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Oakleigh Cannons19125241:1841
2Hume City19124339:2240
3Avondale FC19111753:2534
4Heidelberg Utd1994631:2431
5Melbourne City U211885535:2029
6Preston Lions18112528:1529
7South Melbourne1991929:3228
8George Cross1968525:2626
9Dandenong City SC1975726:2522
10St Albans1964921:3422
11Altona Magic19541021:3519
12Bentleigh Greens19441117:4216
13Dandenong Thunder19331320:4212
14Green Gully19241313:3910