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Stadium Background

Dangjin Citizen vs Mokpo

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Seo D.
19' Event
Gong Yong-Hoon
45' Event
Ryu Y.

AI Match Summary

Dangjin Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dangjin Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dangjin Citizen
15%
Draws
34%
Mokpo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dangjin Citizen have won more games recently than Mokpo.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Dangjin Citizen taking it.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dangjin Citizen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dangjin Citizen Mokpo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Mokpo
6:1
Apr 4, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Dangjin Citizen
1:3
Sep 4, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Mokpo
3:1
May 7, 2022 K3 League
Mokpo vs Dangjin Citizen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ji Sang-Wook
4 Goals
Assists Leader Seo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gong Yong-Hoon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dangjin Citizen 85 / 100
Mokpo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dangjin Citizen Mokpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dangjin Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dangjin Citizen's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Mokpo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dangjin Citizen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dangjin Citizen VS Mokpo
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dangjin Citizen

(Home)
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
19 Aug
Jeonbuk
2 : 3
Dangjin Citizen
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1
Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Mokpo

(Away)
13 Sept
Jeonbuk 2
1 : 3
Mokpo
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
25 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
6 : 1
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)