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Dangjin Citizen vs Mokpo

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dangjin Citizen host Mokpo in the K3 League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Dangjin Citizen have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Mokpo's 1 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Dangjin Citizen have won 2 to Mokpo's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Dangjin Citizen to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dangjin Citizen
6%
Draws
4%
Mokpo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dangjin Citizen have won more games recently than Mokpo.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dangjin Citizen taking it.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dangjin Citizen here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dangjin Citizen Mokpo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Dangjin Citizen
1:3
Sep 4, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Mokpo
3:1
May 7, 2022 K3 League
Mokpo vs Dangjin Citizen
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dangjin Citizen 85 / 100
Mokpo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dangjin Citizen Mokpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dangjin Citizen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dangjin Citizen scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Mokpo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dangjin Citizen VS Mokpo
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dangjin Citizen

(Home)
18 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 0
Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Yongin FC
0 : 2
Dangjin Citizen
11 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 1
Pocheon
04 Jul
Haman
0 : 2
Dangjin Citizen
28 Jun
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 2
Gangneung
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Mokpo

(Away)
15 Jul
Cheonan City
2 : 1
Mokpo
11 Jul
Mokpo
2 : 1
Gangneung
04 Jul
Mokpo
3 : 2
Anseong Citizen
27 Jun
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 1
Mokpo
20 Jun
Changwon
1 : 1
Mokpo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)