Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kim D.
40'
Lee J.
64' Event
Yoo Sun-Woo
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dangjin Citizen
15%
Draws
42%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pocheon lately — more wins on the board than Dangjin Citizen.
  • Dangjin Citizen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dangjin Citizen Pocheon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.9 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Dangjin Citizen
4:1
Jun 18, 2022 K3 League
Pocheon vs Dangjin Citizen
1:0
Mar 5, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pocheon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dangjin Citizen 58 / 100
Pocheon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dangjin Citizen Pocheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dangjin Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dangjin Citizen's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pocheon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Dangjin Citizen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dangjin Citizen VS Pocheon
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dangjin Citizen

(Home)
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
19 Aug
Jeonbuk
2 : 3
Dangjin Citizen
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1
Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Pocheon

(Away)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)