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Stadium Background

Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kim D.
40'
Lee J.
64' Event
Yoo Sun-Woo
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dangjin Citizen
39%
Draws
30%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pocheon lately — more wins on the board than Dangjin Citizen.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 10%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dangjin Citizen Pocheon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 2 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Dangjin Citizen
4:1
Jun 18, 2022 K3 League
Pocheon vs Dangjin Citizen
1:0
Mar 5, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Pocheon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Pocheon Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dangjin Citizen 30 / 100
Pocheon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dangjin Citizen Pocheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dangjin Citizen's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dangjin Citizen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pocheon has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dangjin Citizen VS Pocheon
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dangjin Citizen

(Home)
18 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 0
Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Yongin FC
0 : 2
Dangjin Citizen
11 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 1
Pocheon
04 Jul
Haman
0 : 2
Dangjin Citizen
28 Jun
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 2
Gangneung
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Pocheon

(Away)
15 Jul
Seongnam
2 : 1
Pocheon
11 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 1
Pocheon
04 Jul
Pocheon
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
28 Jun
Gyeongju KHNP
1 : 3
Pocheon
21 Jun
Pocheon
3 : 1
Gangneung
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)