Sport Picks
Danubio vs Club Nacional
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff, Montevideo 
Match Events
11'
11'
Rogel A.
12'
12'
Sub
Dos Santos A. In: Rodriguez L.
Out: Dos Santos A.
35'
35'
Rodriguez S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Danubio and Club Nacional finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Club Nacional come out ahead of Danubio on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Danubio Clean Sheet 17%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Danubio | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Club Nacional
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Danubio
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Club Nacional
0:0
Jun 29, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Danubio
3:2
Apr 13, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Danubio
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Danubio 31 / 100
Club Nacional 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Danubio Club Nacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Club Nacional's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Danubio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Danubio scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Danubio VS Club Nacional
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Danubio
(Home) 11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0 Club Nacional
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1 Juventud
05 Jun
Wanderers
0 : 0 Danubio
30 May
Danubio
1 : 2 Progreso
18 May
Maldonado
3 : 1 Danubio
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0 Club Nacional
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1 Juventud
30 May
Danubio
1 : 2 Progreso
09 May
Danubio
0 : 1 Albion
19 Apr
Danubio
1 : 1 Maldonado
Page 1 of 3
Club Nacional
(Away) 11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0 Club Nacional
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1 Juventud
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0 Club Nacional
27 May
Club Nacional
1 : 0 Coquimbo
23 May
Club Nacional
1 : 0 Albion
Page 1 of 7
11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0 Club Nacional
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0 Club Nacional
15 May
Montevideo City
1 : 2 Club Nacional
07 May
Deportes Tolima
3 : 0 Club Nacional
03 May
Albion
3 : 2 Club Nacional
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Central Esp. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Liverpool M. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 7 | Boston River | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Juventud | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 6 | Progreso | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 7 | Albion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Danubio | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)