Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Danubio vs Juventud

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Morosini D.
17'
Mujica I.
24' Event
Azambuja N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Danubio and Juventud finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Danubio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Danubio
28%
Draws
22%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Danubio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Juventud carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Danubio are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Danubio Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Danubio Juventud
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
1:1
Mar 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
4:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Danubio
3:1
Feb 9, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Danubio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Danubio Compare

Top Goalscorer Azambuja N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Juventud Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Danubio 59 / 100
Juventud 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Danubio Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Danubio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Juventud registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Danubio VS Juventud
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Danubio

(Home)
24 Jul
Montevideo City
1 : 0
Danubio
11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0
Club Nacional
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
05 Jun
Wanderers
0 : 0
Danubio
30 May
Danubio
1 : 2
Progreso
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Juventud

(Away)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo1594223:1431
2Maldonado1592424:1629
3Albion1584326:1628
4Penarol1583423:1627
5Central Esp.1573523:2224
6Montevideo City1565422:1623
7Club Nacional1571726:2122
8Defensor Sp.1556413:1121
9Liverpool M.1555520:1820
10Wanderers1562716:2120
11Danubio1546517:2118
12Cerro Largo1552816:1917
13Boston River1552814:2017
14Juventud1543817:2215
15Progreso1524912:2310
16CA Cerro152498:2410
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)