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Stadium Background

Darfo Boario vs Ciserano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 game between Darfo Boario and Ciserano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Darfo Boario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Darfo Boario
15%
Draws
42%
Ciserano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Darfo Boario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ciserano haven't matched Darfo Boario's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Darfo Boario Clean Sheet 15%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darfo Boario Ciserano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Ciserano
2:1
Oct 14, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Darfo Boario
1:1
Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Ciserano
3:0
Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Darfo Boario
1:1
Apr 2, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Darfo Boario
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darfo Boario 35 / 100
Ciserano 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darfo Boario Ciserano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ciserano registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Darfo Boario scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Darfo Boario VS Ciserano
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Darfo Boario

(Home)
14 Aug
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Pro Palazzolo
05 Sept
Darfo Boario
0 : 5
Brescia
21 Jul
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Brescia
12 May
Darfo Boario
2 : 3
Ambrosiana
05 May
Darfo Boario
3 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
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Ciserano

(Away)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)