Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Darfo Boario vs Ponte San Pietro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Darfo Boario in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Darfo Boario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Darfo Boario
6%
Draws
90%
Ponte San Pietro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ponte San Pietro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ponte San Pietro average 0.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Darfo Boario's 0.5.
  • Win probability leans Ponte San Pietro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Darfo Boario Clean Sheet 10%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darfo Boario Ponte San Pietro
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 0.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Ponte San Pietro
3:1
Dec 23, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Darfo Boario
3:0
Jan 17, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Ponte San Pietro
1:2
Sep 13, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Darfo Boario
1:1
Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Ponte San Pietro
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darfo Boario 10 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darfo Boario Ponte San Pietro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte San Pietro has conceded goals in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ponte San Pietro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Darfo Boario scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Darfo Boario VS Ponte San Pietro
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Darfo Boario

(Home)
14 Aug
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Pro Palazzolo
05 Sept
Darfo Boario
0 : 5
Brescia
21 Jul
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Brescia
12 May
Darfo Boario
2 : 3
Ambrosiana
05 May
Darfo Boario
3 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
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Ponte San Pietro

(Away)
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0
Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3
Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1
Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5
Ponte San Pietro
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Como34285168:1889
2Mantova34265373:2783
3Pro Sesto34216761:4269
4Rezzato34205953:3665
5Caronnese34178957:4159
6Ciserano-Bergamo3411121134:4145
7Sondrio3411111238:3944
8Seregno Calcio3411101337:4243
9Villa Valle3410111335:3541
10Caravaggio3410101445:5340
11Ponte San Pietro341171651:5240
12Scanzorosciate349121335:3739
13Legnago Salus341081638:5738
14Darfo Boario348111526:4635
15Ambrosiana34961945:6233
16Villafranca346131536:4431
17Ciserano34682042:6826
18Olginatese343102126:6019
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)