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Darfo Boario vs Sondrio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Darfo Boario Logo

Darfo Boario

0 - 4
FT
Sondrio Logo

Sondrio

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 game between Darfo Boario and Sondrio finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sondrio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Darfo Boario
15%
Draws
59%
Sondrio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sondrio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sondrio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sondrio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Darfo Boario Clean Sheet 20%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darfo Boario Sondrio
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Sondrio
0:4
Oct 28, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Darfo Boario
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darfo Boario 10 / 100
Sondrio 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darfo Boario Sondrio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sondrio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sondrio has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Darfo Boario's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Darfo Boario stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sondrio
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Darfo Boario

(Home)
14 Aug
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Pro Palazzolo
05 Sept
Darfo Boario
0 : 5
Brescia
21 Jul
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Brescia
12 May
Darfo Boario
2 : 3
Ambrosiana
05 May
Darfo Boario
3 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 7

Sondrio

(Away)
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1
Sondrio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)