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Darlington FC vs Macclesfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Stephenson D.
51' Event
Elliott D.
69' Event
Elliott D.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Darlington FC and Macclesfield finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macclesfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Darlington FC
30%
Draws
51%
Macclesfield
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macclesfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Darlington FC haven't matched Macclesfield's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Macclesfield here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 13%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darlington FC Macclesfield
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.32 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National League North
Darlington FC vs Macclesfield
1:2
Mar 3, 2026 National League North
Darlington FC vs Macclesfield
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 National League North
Macclesfield vs Darlington FC
2:1
May 1, 2010 League Two
Macclesfield vs Darlington FC
0:2
Oct 3, 2009 League Two
Darlington FC vs Macclesfield
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Darlington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephenson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Macclesfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliott D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darlington FC 31 / 100
Macclesfield 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darlington FC Macclesfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macclesfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Darlington FC scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Macclesfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Darlington FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Darlington FC VS Macclesfield
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Darlington FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0
Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4
Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1
Darlington FC
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6

Macclesfield

(Away)
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
03 Oct
Macclesfield
2 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)