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Darlington FC vs Scarborough Athletic

England England

National League North 2025/2026 Blackwell Meadows, Darlington
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Bennett R.
77' Event
Weledji K.
Own Goal
90' Event
Thornton W.

AI Match Summary

Scarborough Athletic in this National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scarborough Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Darlington FC
22%
Draws
18%
Scarborough Athletic
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Darlington FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Darlington FC lately — more wins on the board than Scarborough Athletic.
  • Win probability leans Darlington FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 16%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darlington FC Scarborough Athletic
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National League North
Darlington FC vs Scarborough Athletic
1:2
Dec 26, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Darlington FC
0:1
Apr 21, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Darlington FC
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 National League North
Darlington FC vs Scarborough Athletic
4:3
Dec 30, 2023 National League North
Darlington FC vs Scarborough Athletic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Darlington FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Scarborough Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thornton W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darlington FC 57 / 100
Scarborough Athletic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darlington FC Scarborough Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darlington FC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Scarborough Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scarborough Athletic lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Darlington FC VS Scarborough Athletic
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Darlington FC

(Home)
21 Jul
Darlington FC
2 : 4
Carlisle
18 Jul
Newcastle Utd
3 : 0
Darlington FC
14 Jul
Stockton
1 : 3
Darlington FC
11 Jul
Redcar Athletic
0 : 4
Darlington FC
25 Apr
Darlington FC
1 : 3
Oxford City
Page 1 of 6

Scarborough Athletic

(Away)
25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2
Barnsley
28 Apr
Buxton
4 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
25 Apr
Bedford
1 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
18 Apr
Scarborough Athletic
2 : 1
Merthyr Town
11 Apr
Buxton
2 : 0
Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AFC Fylde4632410112:51100
2South Shields462811799:4395
3Kidderminster462512974:5187
4Macclesfield462471581:6879
5Buxton462271783:6173
6Scarborough Athletic4619161161:5273
7Chester4620131366:6473
8Merthyr Town462242095:8670
9Darlington FC462091778:6869
10Spennymoor4619111662:6968
11Telford4617141585:6565
12Marine461882062:7262
13Radcliffe461862276:8360
14Southport4616121864:7160
15Chorley4615121966:6557
16Worksop461692166:7457
17Oxford City4615112062:6756
18Bedford4613141966:7753
19King’s Lynn4612161856:6452
20Hereford4614102264:7952
21Curzon Ashton4613132067:8852
22Alfreton4612142049:8250
23Peterborough Sports461092751:9639
24Leamington46783141:9029
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)