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Darlington FC vs Scarborough Athletic

England England

National League North 2025/2026 Blackwell Meadows, Darlington
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Bennett R.
77' Event
Weledji K.
Own Goal
90' Event
Thornton W.

AI Match Summary

Scarborough Athletic in this National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scarborough Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Darlington FC
35%
Draws
39%
Scarborough Athletic
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Scarborough Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Scarborough Athletic lately — more wins on the board than Darlington FC.
  • Win probability leans Scarborough Athletic's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darlington FC Scarborough Athletic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 2 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National League North
Darlington FC vs Scarborough Athletic
1:2
Dec 26, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Darlington FC
0:1
Apr 21, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Darlington FC
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 National League North
Darlington FC vs Scarborough Athletic
4:3
Dec 30, 2023 National League North
Darlington FC vs Scarborough Athletic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Darlington FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Scarborough Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thornton W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darlington FC 26 / 100
Scarborough Athletic 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darlington FC Scarborough Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scarborough Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darlington FC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Scarborough Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Darlington FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Darlington FC VS Scarborough Athletic
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Darlington FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4
Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1
Darlington FC
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
05 Sept
Darlington FC
0 : 2
King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 6

Scarborough Athletic

(Away)
26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0
Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0
Scarborough Athletic
05 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1
Telford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Fylde 46 32 4 10 112:51 100
2 South Shields 46 28 11 7 99:43 95
3 Kidderminster 46 25 12 9 74:51 87
4 Macclesfield 46 24 7 15 81:68 79
5 Buxton 46 22 7 17 83:61 73
6 Scarborough Athletic 46 19 16 11 61:52 73
7 Chester 46 20 13 13 66:64 73
8 Merthyr Town 46 22 4 20 95:86 70
9 Darlington FC 46 20 9 17 78:68 69
10 Spennymoor 46 19 11 16 62:69 68
11 Telford 46 17 14 15 85:65 65
12 Marine 46 18 8 20 62:72 62
13 Radcliffe 46 18 6 22 76:83 60
14 Southport 46 16 12 18 64:71 60
15 Chorley 46 15 12 19 66:65 57
16 Worksop 46 16 9 21 66:74 57
17 Oxford City 46 15 11 20 62:67 56
18 Bedford 46 13 14 19 66:77 53
19 King’s Lynn 46 12 16 18 56:64 52
20 Hereford 46 14 10 22 64:79 52
21 Curzon Ashton 46 13 13 20 67:88 52
22 Alfreton 46 12 14 20 49:82 50
23 Peterborough Sports 46 10 9 27 51:96 39
24 Leamington 46 7 8 31 41:90 29
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)