Sport Picks
Darlington FC vs Spennymoor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
2'
2'
Stephenson D.
57'
57'
Stephenson D.
(Penalty)
70'
70'
Stephenson D.
AI Match Summary
Darlington FC in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Darlington FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Darlington FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Spennymoor average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Darlington FC's 1.41.
- Win probability leans Darlington FC's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Darlington FC have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Darlington FC | Spennymoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 National League North
Darlington FC vs Spennymoor
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs Darlington FC
0:4
Nov 22, 2025 National League North
Darlington FC vs Spennymoor
1:0
Mar 4, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Darlington FC
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 National League North
Darlington FC vs Spennymoor
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Darlington FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Stephenson D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Spennymoor Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Darlington FC 38 / 100
Spennymoor 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Darlington FC Spennymoor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Darlington FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spennymoor let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Darlington FC's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Darlington FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Darlington FC VS Spennymoor
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Darlington FC
(Home) 24 Oct
Darlington FC
3 : 0 Spennymoor
17 Oct
Telford
2 : 1 Darlington FC
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0 Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Darlington FC
3 : 0 Spennymoor
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
05 Sept
Darlington FC
0 : 2 King’s Lynn
29 Aug
Darlington FC
1 : 2 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 3
Spennymoor
(Away) 24 Oct
Darlington FC
3 : 0 Spennymoor
17 Oct
Harborough
3 : 1 Spennymoor
10 Oct
Brackley
2 : 1 Spennymoor
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Darlington FC
3 : 0 Spennymoor
17 Oct
Harborough
3 : 1 Spennymoor
10 Oct
Brackley
2 : 1 Spennymoor
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:7 | 26 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:18 | 23 |
| 5 | King’s Lynn | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 21 |
| 6 | Hednesford | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 7 | Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 17 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 16 | Harborough | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:16 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16:21 | 15 |
| 20 | Brackley | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:24 | 15 |
| 21 | Telford | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:20 | 13 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17:24 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:26 | 7 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
