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Darmstadt U21 vs Karlsruher II

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AI Match Summary

Darmstadt U21 play Karlsruher II in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Darmstadt U21 averaged 2.17 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Karlsruher II averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Darmstadt U21 won 1, Karlsruher II won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Darmstadt U21 and 1.25 for Karlsruher II. This points to a Darmstadt U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Darmstadt U21
17%
Draws
34%
Karlsruher II
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Darmstadt U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Darmstadt U21 picked up more points recently compared to Karlsruher II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Darmstadt U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Karlsruher II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darmstadt U21 Karlsruher II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 2.17 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Darmstadt U21 vs Karlsruher II
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Darmstadt U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Schlosser M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mignano L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Karlsruher II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darmstadt U21 48 / 100
Karlsruher II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darmstadt U21 Karlsruher II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Darmstadt U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Darmstadt U21 attacking → ← attacking Karlsruher II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darmstadt U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Karlsruher II let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Darmstadt U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Karlsruher II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 36
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00