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Darmstadt U21 vs VfB Marburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Darmstadt U21 host VfB Marburg in the Oberliga Hessen. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Darmstadt U21 at 2.31 goals for, 1.66 against; VfB Marburg at 1.38 for, 1.55 against. Head-to-head, Darmstadt U21 have won 2 to VfB Marburg's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.50) point toward Darmstadt U21. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Darmstadt U21
15%
Draws
34%
VfB Marburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Darmstadt U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Darmstadt U21 come out ahead of VfB Marburg on wins alone.
  • Darmstadt U21 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Darmstadt U21 Clean Sheet 16%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darmstadt U21 VfB Marburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.31 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Darmstadt U21 vs VfB Marburg
4:0
Oct 4, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Darmstadt U21
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Darmstadt U21 vs VfB Marburg
3:1
Oct 3, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Darmstadt U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darmstadt U21 66 / 100
VfB Marburg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darmstadt U21 VfB Marburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Darmstadt U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darmstadt U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

VfB Marburg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

VfB Marburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Darmstadt U21 VS VfB Marburg
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Darmstadt U21

(Home)
18 Oct
Hanauer SC
1 : 0
Darmstadt U21
11 Oct
Darmstadt U21
4 : 0
Kassel 2
03 Oct
Hunfelder
0 : 3
Darmstadt U21
26 Sept
Darmstadt U21
2 : 3
Alzenau
19 Sept
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Darmstadt U21
Page 1 of 6

VfB Marburg

(Away)
17 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 2
Baunatal
10 Oct
Hadamar
2 : 0
VfB Marburg
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stadtallendorf 14 10 2 2 41:11 32
2 Unter-Flockenbach 14 9 2 3 37:25 29
3 Eddersheim 14 7 4 3 31:24 25
4 Hadamar 14 7 3 4 24:21 24
5 Turk Gucu Friedberg 14 7 3 4 27:21 24
6 Pohlheim 14 7 2 5 21:21 23
7 Darmstadt U21 14 6 3 5 31:18 21
8 VfB Marburg 14 6 3 5 19:18 21
9 Hunfelder 14 6 1 7 21:22 19
10 CSC 03 Kassel 14 5 3 6 15:25 18
11 Fernwald 14 3 9 2 22:20 18
12 Alzenau 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 RW Walldorf 14 5 2 7 22:30 17
14 Baunatal 14 4 3 7 20:26 15
15 Hanauer SC 14 3 4 7 21:32 13
16 Hummetroth 14 3 3 8 21:29 12
17 Kassel 2 14 3 3 8 16:24 12
18 Giessen 14 2 3 9 17:37 9
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)