Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Darmstadt vs Elversberg

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor, Darmstadt
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pfeiffer P.
Assist: Akiyama H.
15' Event
Hornby F.
26' Event
Zimmerschied T.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Darmstadt and Elversberg finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Darmstadt
6%
Draws
90%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elversberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elversberg come out ahead of Darmstadt on wins alone.
  • Elversberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Darmstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darmstadt Elversberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Elversberg
3:3
Nov 30, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Darmstadt
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Elversberg
0:3
Aug 31, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Darmstadt
4:0
Oct 13, 2023 Club Friendly
Darmstadt vs Elversberg
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Darmstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Hornby F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pfeiffer P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Elversberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimmerschied T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rohr M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darmstadt 10 / 100
Elversberg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darmstadt Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darmstadt found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Elversberg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Darmstadt has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Darmstadt VS Elversberg
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Darmstadt

(Home)
17 May
Darmstadt
0 : 2
Paderborn
10 May
Preussen Munster
1 : 1
Darmstadt
03 May
Karlsruher
2 : 1
Darmstadt
25 Apr
Darmstadt
3 : 3
Elversberg
19 Apr
Greuther Furth
3 : 2
Darmstadt
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Elversberg

(Away)
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Giessen
0 : 5
Elversberg
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0
Preussen Munster
10 May
Dusseldorf
3 : 1
Elversberg
03 May
Elversberg
5 : 1
Paderborn
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Schalke34217650:3170
2Elversberg34188864:3962
3Paderborn34188859:4562
4Hannover341612660:4460
5Darmstadt341313857:4552
6Kaiserslautern341641452:4752
7Hertha Berlin341491147:4451
8Nurnberg3412101247:4546
9Bochum3411111249:4744
10Karlsruher341281453:6444
11Dresden341181554:5341
12Holstein Kiel341181544:4841
13Arminia Bielefeld341091553:5139
14Magdeburg341231952:5839
15Braunschweig341071736:5437
16Greuther Furth341071749:6837
17Dusseldorf341141933:5337
18Preussen Munster346121638:6130
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)