Sport Picks
Darmstadt vs Holstein Kiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
2. Bundesliga Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor, Darmstadt 
Match Events
8'
8'
Balzi G.
Assist: Harres P.
28'
28'
Nekic I.
35'
35'
Furukawa Y.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Bundesliga game between Darmstadt and Holstein Kiel finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Darmstadt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Darmstadt come out ahead of Holstein Kiel on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Darmstadt's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Darmstadt Clean Sheet 16%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Darmstadt | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.27 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Holstein Kiel
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Holstein Kiel
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Darmstadt
1:1
Jan 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Darmstadt vs Holstein Kiel
1:2
Apr 30, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Darmstadt
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Darmstadt Compare
Top Goalscorer Lee Ho-Jae
1 Goals Assists Leader Vukotic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Holstein Kiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Balzi G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Harres P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Darmstadt 41 / 100
Holstein Kiel 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Darmstadt Holstein Kiel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Darmstadt scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Holstein Kiel let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Darmstadt has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Darmstadt VS Holstein Kiel
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Darmstadt
(Home) 30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7 Darmstadt
18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1 Darmstadt
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
05 Sept
Kaiserslautern
3 : 0 Darmstadt
30 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 1 Hannover
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11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
30 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 1 Hannover
08 Aug
Darmstadt
2 : 2 Holstein Kiel
01 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 0 Portsmouth
14 Jul
Darmstadt
5 : 1 FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 3
Holstein Kiel
(Away) 09 Oct
Braunschweig
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 1 Viborg
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 Nurnberg
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Braunschweig
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0 Holstein Kiel
22 Aug
Munich 1860
0 : 2 Holstein Kiel
08 Aug
Darmstadt
2 : 2 Holstein Kiel
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 11 |
| 6 | Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:13 | 8 |
| 8 | Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 9 | St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Hannover | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabruck | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 13 | Greuther Furth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Karlsruher | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 18 | Darmstadt | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
