Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Darmstadt vs Paderborn

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor, Darmstadt
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Marino S.
Assist: Hansen M.
14'
Lopez S.
45'
Baur M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Darmstadt and Paderborn finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paderborn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Darmstadt
35%
Draws
38%
Paderborn
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paderborn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Paderborn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Darmstadt a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Darmstadt Clean Sheet 15%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darmstadt Paderborn
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.21 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Paderborn
0:2
Dec 19, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Darmstadt
2:2
Jan 26, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Paderborn
0:1
Aug 11, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Darmstadt
3:1
Apr 9, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Paderborn
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Darmstadt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Paderborn Compare

Top Goalscorer Marino S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michel S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darmstadt 35 / 100
Paderborn 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darmstadt Paderborn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darmstadt scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Paderborn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Darmstadt stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Darmstadt VS Paderborn
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Darmstadt

(Home)
16 Aug
Dresden
1 : 0
Darmstadt
08 Aug
Darmstadt
2 : 2
Holstein Kiel
01 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 0
Portsmouth
25 Jul
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 : 7
Darmstadt
17 Jul
Astoria Walldorf
1 : 4
Darmstadt
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Paderborn

(Away)
08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Paderborn
01 Aug
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 2
Paderborn
17 Jul
Paderborn
3 : 1
Okayama
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1
Wolfsburg
21 May
Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Paderborn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 34 21 7 6 50:31 70
2 Elversberg 34 18 8 8 64:39 62
3 Paderborn 34 18 8 8 59:45 62
4 Hannover 34 16 12 6 60:44 60
5 Darmstadt 34 13 13 8 57:45 52
6 Kaiserslautern 34 16 4 14 52:47 52
7 Hertha Berlin 34 14 9 11 47:44 51
8 Nurnberg 34 12 10 12 47:45 46
9 Bochum 34 11 11 12 49:47 44
10 Karlsruher 34 12 8 14 53:64 44
11 Dresden 34 11 8 15 54:53 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 10 9 15 53:51 39
14 Magdeburg 34 12 3 19 52:58 39
15 Braunschweig 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
16 Greuther Furth 34 10 7 17 49:68 37
17 Dusseldorf 34 11 4 19 33:53 37
18 Preussen Munster 34 6 12 16 38:61 30
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)