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Darmstadt vs St. Pauli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor, Darmstadt
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Darmstadt host St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Darmstadt have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against St. Pauli's 1.36 scored and 1.71 conceded. Head-to-head, Darmstadt have won 2 to St. Pauli's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 6, 2023, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.50) point toward Darmstadt. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Darmstadt
30%
Draws
35%
St. Pauli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Darmstadt come out ahead of St. Pauli on wins alone.
  • Model gives Darmstadt a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Darmstadt Clean Sheet 16%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darmstadt St. Pauli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs St. Pauli
0:3
Oct 29, 2022 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Darmstadt
1:1
Apr 23, 2022 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Darmstadt
1:2
Nov 20, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs St. Pauli
4:0
Feb 20, 2021 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Darmstadt
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darmstadt 36 / 100
St. Pauli 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darmstadt St. Pauli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Pauli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Darmstadt found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Darmstadt stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Darmstadt VS St. Pauli
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Darmstadt

(Home)
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7
Darmstadt
18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1
Darmstadt
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
05 Sept
Kaiserslautern
3 : 0
Darmstadt
30 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 1
Hannover
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St. Pauli

(Away)
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
30 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 2
Kaiserslautern
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 7 4 2 1 14:12 14
4 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 Braunschweig 7 2 1 4 13:13 7
9 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
10 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
11 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
14 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
15 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
16 Holstein Kiel 7 0 4 3 7:11 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)