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Darvel FC vs Tynecastle

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2022/2023
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Darvel FC host Tynecastle in the Scottish Cup 2022/2023. Darvel FC go into this one as the clear favorite. Tynecastle have shipped 6.25 goals a game lately, while Darvel FC have conceded 1.38 and scored 2.75. Past meetings favor Darvel FC slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2022, ending 8:0. Model xG sits at 4.00 vs 0.94, favoring Darvel FC. Darvel FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Darvel FC
6%
Draws
4%
Tynecastle
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Darvel FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Darvel FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tynecastle.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Darvel FC.
  • Cup tournament structure in Scottish Cup 2022/2023 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Darvel FC Clean Sheet 20%
Tynecastle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darvel FC Tynecastle
Matches Played 14 4
Wins 7 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 6.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 6.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2022 Scottish Cup
Darvel FC vs Tynecastle
8:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darvel FC 85 / 100
Tynecastle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darvel FC Tynecastle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darvel FC scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Tynecastle let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Darvel FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tynecastle lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Darvel FC VS Tynecastle
2.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 6.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
St Johnstone-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rangers-
Partick-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kelty Hearts-
Dunfermline-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kilwinning Rangers4
Tranent FC2
TBD-
Forfar Athletic-
Linlithgow Rose2
Berwick1
Clydebank FC1
Spartans3
Gala Fairydean Rovers1
Sauchie4
TBD-
Bonnyrigg Rose-
Raith-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cowdenbeath0
Boness United1
Syngenta2
Auchinleck Talbot4
Civil Service Strollers1
Fraserburgh2
TBD-
Stranraer-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arbroath-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Motherwell-
Hamilton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Deveronvale2
East Kilbride4
Caledonian Braves6
Newton Stewart1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ross County-
Hibernian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Morton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen of the South-
St. Mirren-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundee FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airdrieonians-
Montrose-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cumbernauld Colts0
Dalbeattie Star1
Darvel FC8
Tynecastle0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberdeen-
Lossiemouth1
Buckie Thistle2
Broomhill3
Brora Rangers2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Alloa-
Wick Academy5
Lochee United1
Benburb4
Dundonald Bluebell2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Falkirk-
Cove Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dunipace2
Broxburn Athletic1
Banks O' Dee0
Turriff United3
Ayr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pollok6
Huntly0
TBD-
Annan-
Musselburgh1
Newtongrange Star2
Hill Of Beath3
Inverurie Loco Works1
Elgin City-
TBD-
Strathspey Thistle0
Camelon Juniors5
Gretna 20083
Edinburgh University1
Nairn County1
Drumchapel United3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Edinburgh City-
Carnoustie Panmure3
Rothes1
Formartine Utd3
East Stirlingshire1
Stenhousemuir-
TBD-
TBD-
East Fife-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Livingston-
Inverness-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeanfield Swifts1
Brechin5
TBD-
Stirling-
Peterhead-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen's Park-
Dundee Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Forres Mechanics2
Glasgow University3
TBD-
Albion Rovers-
Dunbar United3
Clachnacuddin2
Stirling University3
Hutchison Vale0
Kilmarnock-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Clyde-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Keith1
Cumnock Juniors2
TBD-
Dumbarton-
1/64-finals
St Johnstone-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rangers-
Partick-
TBD-
TBD-
Kelty Hearts-
Dunfermline-
TBD-
Kilwinning Rangers1
Forfar Athletic3
Linlithgow Rose4
Spartans0
Sauchie3
Bonnyrigg Rose2
Raith-
TBD-
Boness United1
Auchinleck Talbot2
Fraserburgh2
Stranraer1
TBD-
Arbroath-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Motherwell-
Hamilton-
TBD-
East Kilbride5
Caledonian Braves0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ross County-
Hibernian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Morton-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen of the South-
St. Mirren-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundee FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Airdrieonians-
Montrose-
TBD-
Dalbeattie Star1
Darvel FC7
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberdeen-
Buckie Thistle1
Broomhill3
TBD-
Alloa-
Wick Academy2
Benburb0
TBD-
Falkirk-
Cove Rangers-
TBD-
Dunipace5
Turriff United2
Ayr-
TBD-
Pollok4
Annan3
Newtongrange Star0
Hill Of Beath1
Elgin City4
Camelon Juniors0
Gretna 20081
Drumchapel United4
TBD-
Edinburgh City-
Carnoustie Panmure1
Formartine Utd2
Stenhousemuir2
East Fife1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Livingston-
Inverness-
TBD-
Brechin2
Stirling3
Peterhead-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen's Park-
Dundee Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glasgow University1
Albion Rovers4
Dunbar United1
Stirling University3
Kilmarnock-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Clyde-
TBD-
Cumnock Juniors1
Dumbarton3
1/32-finals
St Johnstone-
TBD-
TBD-
Rangers-
Partick3
Kelty Hearts0
Dunfermline4
Forfar Athletic0
Linlithgow Rose1
Sauchie0
Raith3
Auchinleck Talbot0
Fraserburgh0
Arbroath2
TBD-
Motherwell-
Hamilton4
East Kilbride0
TBD-
Ross County-
Hibernian-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Celtic-
TBD-
Morton4
Queen of the South1
St. Mirren-
TBD-
Dundee FC6
Airdrieonians2
Montrose2
Darvel FC5
TBD-
Aberdeen-
Broomhill1
Alloa2
Wick Academy0
Falkirk6
Cove Rangers7
Dunipace0
Ayr1
Pollok0
Hill Of Beath1
Elgin City2
Drumchapel United1
Edinburgh City0
Formartine Utd1
Stenhousemuir3
TBD-
Livingston-
Inverness3
Stirling2
Peterhead0
Queen's Park3
Dundee Utd-
TBD-
Albion Rovers0
Stirling University1
Kilmarnock-
TBD-
Clyde1
Dumbarton3
1/16-finals
St Johnstone0
Rangers1
Partick2
Dunfermline1
Linlithgow Rose0
Raith2
Arbroath0
Motherwell2
Hamilton1
Ross County0
Hibernian0
Hearts3
Celtic5
Morton0
St. Mirren1
Dundee FC0
Darvel FC1
Aberdeen0
Alloa1
Falkirk2
Cove Rangers0
Ayr3
Elgin City2
Drumchapel United1
Stenhousemuir1
Livingston3
Inverness-
Queen's Park-
Dundee Utd3
Stirling University0
Kilmarnock1
Dumbarton0
1/8-finals
Rangers3
Partick2
Raith3
Motherwell1
Hamilton0
Hearts2
Celtic5
St. Mirren1
Darvel FC1
Falkirk5
Ayr4
Elgin City1
Livingston0
Inverness3
Dundee Utd0
Kilmarnock1
Quarter-finals
Rangers3
Raith0
Hearts0
Celtic3
Falkirk2
Ayr1
Inverness2
Kilmarnock1
Semi-finals
Rangers0
Celtic1
Falkirk0
Inverness3
Final
Celtic3
Inverness1