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Dauphins Noirs vs Capaco

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2016/2017
Sat, Oct 8, 2016
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dauphins Noirs host Capaco in the Super Ligue 2016/2017. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Dauphins Noirs at 1.38 goals for, 0.72 against; Capaco at 1.18 for, 0.55 against. Past meetings favor Dauphins Noirs slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 27, 2016, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.13) point toward Dauphins Noirs. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Dauphins Noirs
35%
Draws
27%
Capaco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dauphins Noirs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Capaco haven't matched Dauphins Noirs's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Dauphins Noirs taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Dauphins Noirs Clean Sheet 20%
Capaco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dauphins Noirs Capaco
Matches Played 40 11
Wins 22 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 1.38 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2016 Ligue 1
Capaco vs Dauphins Noirs
0:0
Oct 8, 2016 Ligue 1
Dauphins Noirs vs Capaco
0:0
Dec 13, 2015 Ligue 1
Capaco vs Dauphins Noirs
1:0
Sep 20, 2015 Ligue 1
Dauphins Noirs vs Capaco
3:0
Nov 16, 2014 Ligue 1
Dauphins Noirs vs Capaco
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dauphins Noirs 85 / 100
Capaco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dauphins Noirs Capaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dauphins Noirs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dauphins Noirs stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dauphins Noirs's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Capaco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 11 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dauphins Noirs VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dauphins Noirs

(Home)
15 Apr
Dauphins Noirs
3 : 0
AC Rangers
09 Apr
FC Renaissance
0 : 0
Dauphins Noirs
28 Mar
Aigles du Congo
0 : 2
Dauphins Noirs
25 Mar
AS Vita Club
0 : 1
Dauphins Noirs
18 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1
Dauphins Noirs
Page 1 of 8

Capaco

(Away)
11 Feb
Capaco
2 : 1
Muungano
22 Jan
Nkoyi Bilombe
1 : 0
Capaco
27 Dec
El Dorado
0 : 0
Capaco
13 Dec
Capaco
1 : 0
Dauphins Noirs
06 Dec
Capaco
1 : 1
Socozaki
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukavu Dawa 10 5 5 0 12:7 20
2 Muungano 10 6 2 2 12:3 20
3 Dauphins Noirs 10 6 2 2 12:6 20
4 Virunga 10 2 4 4 7:13 10
5 Nkoyi Bilombe 10 2 1 7 9:14 7
6 Makiso 10 2 0 8 8:17 6
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 18 13 4 1 37:9 43
2 Motema Pembe 18 12 5 1 37:9 41
3 OC Renaissance 18 9 5 4 30:14 32
4 RCK 18 9 2 7 28:24 29
5 AS Dragons 18 8 2 8 18:20 26
6 Shark XI 18 7 4 7 21:17 25
7 FC MK Etancheite 18 6 5 7 19:23 23
8 Veti 18 4 7 7 11:23 19
9 Rojolu 18 2 3 13 11:27 9
10 Ndombe 18 1 1 16 12:58 4
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 18 14 3 1 38:3 45
2 Sanga Balende 18 13 3 2 31:8 42
3 Don Bosco 18 11 4 3 27:13 37
4 St Eloi Lupopo 18 7 4 7 18:18 25
5 Lubumbashi Sport 18 5 6 7 13:19 21
6 Dibumba 18 5 5 8 14:25 20
7 Groupe Bazano 18 6 2 10 10:21 20
8 Ocean Pacifique 18 5 4 9 16:27 19
9 Simba 18 4 5 9 16:23 17
10 New Soger 18 1 2 15 8:34 5
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - Super Ligue 2016/2017 (Final Stage)