Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Davao Aguilas vs Don Bosco Garelli

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Adamu I.
40' Event
Koum D.
57' Event
Pickering C.

AI Match Summary

The PFL game between Davao Aguilas and Don Bosco Garelli finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Davao Aguilas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Davao Aguilas
6%
Draws
90%
Don Bosco Garelli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Don Bosco Garelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Davao Aguilas come out ahead of Don Bosco Garelli on wins alone.
  • Model gives Don Bosco Garelli a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Davao Aguilas have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 10%
Don Bosco Garelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Davao Aguilas Don Bosco Garelli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1 4
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Davao Aguilas
0:3
Oct 26, 2025 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Don Bosco Garelli
3:0
May 25, 2024 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Don Bosco Garelli
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Davao Aguilas Compare

Top Goalscorer Adamu I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koum D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Don Bosco Garelli Compare

Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Davao Aguilas 10 / 100
Don Bosco Garelli 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Davao Aguilas Don Bosco Garelli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Don Bosco Garelli conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Davao Aguilas found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Davao Aguilas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Davao Aguilas VS Don Bosco Garelli
1 Goals Scored 4
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manila Digger201730103:1354
2Taguig20171284:952
3Cebu FC20133470:2142
4Kaya FC20132568:1341
5Stallion2096558:2233
6Davao Aguilas20102845:2832
7Maharlika Manila2092943:3529
8Don Bosco Garelli20501532:7415
9Tuloy20321527:11911
10Mendiola FC 199120211713:997
11Philippine Army20021814:1242